KIR343 Advanced File Manager

Advanced File Manager

Files and Directories
Name Size Last Modified Actions
.. 4 KB 2026-07-28 08:36:28
ID3 4 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
IXR 4 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
PHPMailer 4 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
Requests 4 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
SimplePie 4 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
Text 4 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
abilities-api 4 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
assets 4 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
block-bindings 4 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
block-patterns 4 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
block-supports 4 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
blocks 12 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
certificates 4 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
css 4 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
customize 4 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
fonts 4 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
html-api 4 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
images 4 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
interactivity-api 4 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
js 4 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
l10n 4 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
php-compat 4 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
pomo 4 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
rest-api 4 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
sitemaps 4 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
sodium_compat 4 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
style-engine 4 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
theme-compat 4 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
widgets 4 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
abilities-api.php 23.8 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
abilities.php 7.8 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
admin-bar.php 36.1 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
atomlib.php 11.9 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
author-template.php 18.94 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
block-bindings.php 7.35 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
block-editor.php 28.6 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
block-patterns.php 12.9 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
block-template-utils.php 61.02 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
block-template.php 15 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
blocks.php 112.05 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
bookmark-template.php 12.47 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
bookmark.php 15.07 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
cache-compat.php 9.84 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
cache.php 13.17 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
canonical.php 33.83 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
capabilities.php 42.63 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
category-template.php 55.71 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
category.php 12.53 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-IXR.php 2.55 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-avif-info.php 28.92 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-feed.php 0.53 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-http.php 0.36 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-json.php 42.65 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-oembed.php 0.39 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-phpass.php 6.61 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-phpmailer.php 0.65 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-pop3.php 20.63 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-requests.php 2.18 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-simplepie.php 0.44 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-smtp.php 0.45 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-snoopy.php 36.83 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-walker-category-dropdown.php 2.41 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-walker-category.php 8.28 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-walker-comment.php 13.89 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-walker-nav-menu.php 11.76 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-walker-page-dropdown.php 2.65 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-walker-page.php 7.43 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-admin-bar.php 17.46 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-ajax-response.php 5.14 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-application-passwords.php 16.7 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-block-bindings-registry.php 8.28 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-block-bindings-source.php 2.92 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-block-editor-context.php 1.32 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-block-list.php 4.6 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-block-metadata-registry.php 11.62 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-block-parser-block.php 2.5 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-block-parser-frame.php 1.97 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-block-parser.php 11.25 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-block-pattern-categories-registry.php 5.32 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-block-patterns-registry.php 10.99 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-block-processor.php 68.32 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-block-styles-registry.php 6.34 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-block-supports.php 5.49 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-block-template.php 1.99 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-block-templates-registry.php 7.02 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-block-type-registry.php 4.91 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-block-type.php 16.86 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-block.php 24.23 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-classic-to-block-menu-converter.php 3.97 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-comment-query.php 47.66 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-comment.php 9.22 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-customize-control.php 25.51 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-customize-manager.php 198.38 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-customize-nav-menus.php 56.65 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-customize-panel.php 10.46 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-customize-section.php 10.95 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-customize-setting.php 29.26 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-customize-widgets.php 70.91 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-date-query.php 35.3 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-dependencies.php 16.61 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-dependency.php 2.57 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-duotone.php 39.83 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-editor.php 70.64 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-embed.php 15.56 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-error.php 7.33 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-exception.php 0.25 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-fatal-error-handler.php 7.96 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-feed-cache-transient.php 3.23 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-feed-cache.php 0.95 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-hook.php 16.28 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-http-cookie.php 7.22 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-http-curl.php 12.95 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-http-encoding.php 6.53 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-http-ixr-client.php 3.42 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-http-proxy.php 5.84 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-http-requests-hooks.php 1.97 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-http-requests-response.php 4.3 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-http-response.php 2.91 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-http-streams.php 16.46 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-http.php 40.6 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-image-editor-gd.php 20.22 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-image-editor-imagick.php 36.11 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-image-editor.php 17.01 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-list-util.php 7.27 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-locale-switcher.php 6.62 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-locale.php 16.49 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-matchesmapregex.php 1.79 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-meta-query.php 29.82 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-metadata-lazyloader.php 6.67 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-navigation-fallback.php 8.98 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-network-query.php 19.42 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-network.php 12.01 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-object-cache.php 17.11 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-oembed-controller.php 6.74 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-oembed.php 30.93 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-paused-extensions-storage.php 4.99 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-phpmailer.php 4.25 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-plugin-dependencies.php 24.72 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-post-type.php 29.96 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-post.php 6.34 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-query.php 159.91 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-recovery-mode-cookie-service.php 6.72 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-recovery-mode-email-service.php 10.92 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-recovery-mode-key-service.php 4.77 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-recovery-mode-link-service.php 3.38 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-recovery-mode.php 11.18 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-rewrite.php 62.19 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-role.php 2.46 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-roles.php 9.17 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-script-modules.php 32.15 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-scripts.php 34.05 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-session-tokens.php 7.15 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-simplepie-file.php 3.47 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-simplepie-sanitize-kses.php 1.87 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-site-query.php 30.91 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-site.php 7.29 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-speculation-rules.php 7.35 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-styles.php 12.54 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-tax-query.php 19.12 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-taxonomy.php 18.12 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-term-query.php 39.99 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-term.php 5.17 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-text-diff-renderer-inline.php 0.96 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-text-diff-renderer-table.php 18.44 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-textdomain-registry.php 10.24 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-theme-json-data.php 1.77 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-theme-json-resolver.php 34.9 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-theme-json-schema.php 7.19 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-theme-json.php 160.5 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-theme.php 64.27 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-token-map.php 27.95 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-url-pattern-prefixer.php 4.69 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-user-meta-session-tokens.php 2.94 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-user-query.php 43.13 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-user-request.php 2.25 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-user.php 22.5 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-walker.php 13.01 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-widget-factory.php 3.27 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-widget.php 18 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp-xmlrpc-server.php 210.4 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wp.php 25.86 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class-wpdb.php 115.85 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class.wp-dependencies.php 0.36 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class.wp-scripts.php 0.33 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
class.wp-styles.php 0.33 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
comment-template.php 100.73 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
comment.php 130.93 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
compat-utf8.php 19.1 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
compat.php 17.41 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
cron.php 41.98 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
date.php 0.39 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
default-constants.php 11.1 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
default-filters.php 37.02 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
default-widgets.php 2.24 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
deprecated.php 188.13 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
embed-template.php 0.33 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
embed.php 38 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
error-protection.php 4.02 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
feed-atom-comments.php 5.38 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
feed-atom.php 3.05 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
feed-rdf.php 2.61 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
feed-rss.php 1.16 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
feed-rss2-comments.php 4.04 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
feed-rss2.php 3.71 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
feed.php 24.6 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
fonts.php 9.56 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
formatting.php 346.43 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
functions.php 281.84 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
functions.wp-scripts.php 14.95 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
functions.wp-styles.php 8.44 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
general-template.php 168.95 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
global-styles-and-settings.php 20.71 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
http.php 25.27 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
https-detection.php 5.72 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
https-migration.php 4.63 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
kses.php 81.73 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
l10n.php 67.18 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
link-template.php 156.36 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
load.php 55.19 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
locale.php 0.16 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
media-template.php 61.72 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
media.php 216.06 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
meta.php 65 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
ms-blogs.php 25.24 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
ms-default-constants.php 4.81 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
ms-default-filters.php 6.48 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
ms-deprecated.php 21.25 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
ms-files.php 2.79 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
ms-functions.php 89.69 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
ms-load.php 19.42 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
ms-network.php 3.69 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
ms-settings.php 4.11 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
ms-site.php 40.74 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
nav-menu-template.php 25.38 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
nav-menu.php 43.31 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
option.php 102.57 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
pluggable-deprecated.php 6.18 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
pluggable.php 124.47 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
plugin.php 35.65 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
post-formats.php 6.94 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
post-template.php 67.04 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
post-thumbnail-template.php 10.62 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
post.php 289.13 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
query.php 36.23 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
registration-functions.php 0.2 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
registration.php 0.2 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
rest-api.php 98.29 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
revision.php 30.02 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
rewrite.php 19.03 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
robots-template.php 5.06 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
rss-functions.php 0.25 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
rss.php 22.66 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
script-loader.php 154.63 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
script-modules.php 9.68 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
session.php 0.25 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
shortcodes.php 23.49 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
sitemaps.php 3.16 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
speculative-loading.php 8.4 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
spl-autoload-compat.php 0.43 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
style-engine.php 7.39 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
taxonomy.php 172.91 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
template-canvas.php 0.53 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
template-loader.php 4.17 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
template.php 35.97 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
theme-previews.php 2.84 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
theme-templates.php 6.09 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
theme.php 131.84 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
update.php 37.45 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
user.php 173.89 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
utf8.php 7.09 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
vars.php 6.41 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
version.php 1.08 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
widgets.php 69.46 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
wp-db.php 0.43 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
wp-diff.php 0.78 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
block-i18n.json 0.31 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
theme-i18n.json 1.69 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07
theme.json 8.71 KB 2026-05-14 13:36:07

德州扑克底池赔率简单计算：3步搞定跟注决策

July 28, 2026 | 牌局分析
高高远 · 锦标赛选手
常年征战各大赛事，专精筹码深度与 ICM 决策。

你有没有过这种经历：翻牌圈拿到同花听牌，对手下注后你凭感觉跟注，结果转牌没中，河牌也没中，白白损失筹码？其实，只要掌握底池赔率的简单计算，你就能用数学而不是直觉来决策。底池赔率（Pot Odds）是德州扑克中最基础也最实用的数学工具，它能告诉你跟注是否有利可图。下面我们用3个步骤来拆解。

第一步：计算当前的底池赔率

底池赔率本质上是一个比例：你需要的跟注额与当前底池总额（包括对手的下注）的比值。我们把它换算成百分比，方便与成牌概率对比。

公式很简单：底池赔率百分比 = 跟注额 ÷ (底池总额 + 跟注额) × 100%。举个例子：底池里有100BB，对手下注50BB，你需要跟注50BB才能继续。此时底池总额变为150BB（原底池100BB + 对手下注50BB），你的跟注额是50BB。那么底池赔率 = 50 ÷ (150 + 50) = 50 ÷ 200 = 25%。这意味着，只要你的胜率超过25%，跟注就是正期望值的。

小窍门： 如果不想算百分比，可以直接用比例法：赔率 = 底池总额 : 跟注额。上例中底池150BB，跟注50BB，赔率就是3:1。当赔率高于你成牌概率的倒数时（比如成牌概率4:1，赔率3:1则不利），就不该跟注。

第二步：估算你的成牌概率

成牌概率取决于你的听牌类型和剩余牌数。最常用的是“二四法则”：在翻牌圈，你乘以4就能估算到河牌的成牌概率；在转牌圈，乘以2估算到河牌的概率。注意，这个法则是近似值，但足够精准。

  • 同花听牌（9张补牌）： 翻牌圈约36%（9×4），转牌圈约18%（9×2）。
  • 两头顺听牌（8张补牌）： 翻牌圈约32%（8×4），转牌圈约16%（8×2）。
  • 卡顺听牌（4张补牌）： 翻牌圈约16%（4×4），转牌圈约8%（4×2）。
  • 两高张（6张补牌，如AK）： 翻牌圈约24%（6×4），转牌圈约12%（6×2）。

更精确地，你可以用组合数计算。以同花听牌为例，翻牌圈有9张补牌，剩余47张未知牌（52-2手牌-3翻牌），成牌概率 = 1 – (38/47 × 37/46) ≈ 35%。二四法则的36%已经很接近了。

第三步：对比赔率，决定是否跟注

现在把底池赔率百分比和成牌概率对比。如果成牌概率 ≥ 底池赔率，跟注就是正期望的；反之则弃牌。

牌例： 你在按钮位持A♥K♥，翻牌是Q♥7♥2♠。你有同花听牌（9张补牌）和两张高张（6张补牌，但A和K可能不是完全干净，保守只算同花）。对手在20BB底池中下注10BB。底池变为30BB，你需要跟注10BB，底池赔率 = 10 ÷ (30+10) = 25%。你的同花听牌成牌概率约36%（翻牌圈），大于25%，所以跟注是正期望的。

但要注意，如果对手下注很大，比如下注40BB到20BB底池，跟注额40BB，底池赔率 = 40 ÷ (60+40) = 40%。此时你的成牌概率36%小于40%，直接跟注是负期望的。不过，如果考虑到隐含赔率（Implied Odds），即你击中后还能从对手那里赢到更多筹码，那么跟注可能仍然有利。隐含赔率的计算更复杂，但简单原则是：对手的筹码越深，你越倾向于跟注听牌。

「底池赔率是跟注决策的底线，但隐含赔率能让边界情况变得有利可图。」—— 德州扑克基本原理

掌握这三步，你就不会再盲目跟注。但有一个常见错误：只考虑当前一条街的赔率。比如翻牌圈跟注后，转牌没中，对手又下注，你需要重新计算赔率。另外，成牌概率是到河牌的总概率，但如果你计划只在转牌圈看一张牌（比如翻牌圈全压或短码情况），就只需要用转牌圈的成牌概率（二四法则中的×2）。

最后，给你一条马上能执行的行动建议：下次玩牌时，先练习只用同花听牌和两头顺听牌来计算赔率。每次遇到下注，默念“底池赔率、成牌概率”，对比后再决策。坚持一周，你的跟注质量就会明显提升。记住，数学不会说谎，但你的直觉会。

常见问题解答

底池赔率算出来是25%，成牌概率也是25%，该跟注吗？

应该跟注。当两者相等时，跟注的期望值为零（长期不赢不输），但考虑到隐含赔率、位置优势以及对手可能犯的错误，跟注通常是有利的。另外，如果算上弃牌率（对手可能弃牌），实际胜率会更高。

翻牌圈同花听牌，对手下注半个底池，跟注划算吗？

对手下注半个底池，底池赔率 = 0.5 / (1+0.5+0.5) = 25%（假设原底池为1，对手下注0.5，你跟注0.5）。同花听牌翻牌圈成牌概率约36%，大于25%，所以跟注是正期望的。但要注意转牌圈如果没中，对手再次下注，你需要重新计算。

二四法则算出来的概率准吗？

二四法则是近似值，在补牌数较少时非常准确，补牌数较多时略有偏差。例如9张补牌，翻牌圈实际概率34.97%，二四法则算36%，误差约1%。对于实战决策，这个精度完全足够。更精确的计算可以使用1 – (未知牌数-补牌数)/未知牌数 × (未知牌数-1-补牌数)/(未知牌数-1) 的公式。